Sunday, March 12, 2023

March 12, 8:45 AM Bracket Notes

I took another look at where I'm off the BracketMatrix consensus when it comes to the NCAA Tournament bubble. Prior to this morning's update there were two major discrepancies. I had Oklahoma St. and Vanderbilt in the NCAA Tournament and Rutgers and Pittsburgh out.

After looking at the resumes again, I've decided to change one of those. I've moved Pittsburgh into the NCAA Tournament and Oklahoma St. back into my First Four Out. This shakes up the No. 1 seed pairings a little bit because gone is the perfect complement to Youngstown State. Now the Penguins are heading to New Brunswick, NJ instead to take on Rutgers.

As for Rutgers, I just cannot get past the historically anomalous record that the Scarlet Knights have put together this season. If they get selected, it will be with more bad losses than is typically thought possible. Rutgers is 70th in T-Rank Wins Above Bubble. The only reason they're even in this conversation is the plethora of opportunities for good wins that the Big Ten provides.

Unless Yale or VCU falls in their conference tournament this is probably the last update before the NCAA Tournament bracket announce on CBS. After that show we'll know the No. 1 seeds in the NIT. I will make those changes shortly after the announcement. Then the entire NIT field is being announced tonight at 10 pm on ESPNU. Let's see who is in this tournament!

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